Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.943271e-03 0.002130 0.002316 0.002516 0.002723 0.002933 0.003159
2025-02-02 1.677898e-03 0.001973 0.002277 0.002613 0.002971 0.003340 0.003747
2025-02-09 1.497466e-03 0.001889 0.002305 0.002776 0.003289 0.003827 0.004432
2025-02-16 1.324538e-03 0.001797 0.002316 0.002916 0.003584 0.004295 0.005105
2025-02-23 1.046674e-03 0.001563 0.002151 0.002851 0.003647 0.004510 0.005505
2025-03-02 8.255816e-04 0.001371 0.002018 0.002810 0.003728 0.004740 0.005922
2025-03-09 6.563927e-04 0.001222 0.001922 0.002802 0.003841 0.005003 0.006372
2025-03-16 5.231399e-04 0.001102 0.001850 0.002814 0.003973 0.005282 0.006841
2025-03-23 4.393439e-04 0.001038 0.001840 0.002897 0.004184 0.005651 0.007410
2025-03-30 3.508874e-04 0.000954 0.001797 0.002932 0.004335 0.005949 0.007898
2025-04-06 2.733410e-04 0.000872 0.001750 0.002958 0.004471 0.006227 0.008360
2025-04-13 2.067224e-04 0.000795 0.001701 0.002976 0.004594 0.006488 0.008801
2025-04-20 1.449570e-04 0.000716 0.001652 0.003003 0.004741 0.006793 0.009314
2025-04-27 9.418023e-05 0.000643 0.001605 0.003031 0.004890 0.007104 0.009840
2025-05-04 6.804272e-05 0.000614 0.001624 0.003149 0.005154 0.007556 0.010534
2025-05-11 4.532832e-05 0.000583 0.001637 0.003256 0.005406 0.007995 0.011216
2025-05-18 1.100286e-05 0.000470 0.001505 0.003157 0.005392 0.008111 0.011518
2025-05-25 3.419968e-08 0.000383 0.001402 0.003093 0.005418 0.008273 0.011873
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000319 0.001332 0.003069 0.005494 0.008494 0.012297
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000270 0.001281 0.003071 0.005601 0.008752 0.012764
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000249 0.001283 0.003150 0.005809 0.009136 0.013380
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000216 0.001255 0.003181 0.005952 0.009437 0.013898
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000184 0.001223 0.003203 0.006082 0.009721 0.014394